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2024-12-13 18:22:58

Market information: Trump's nominee for US Treasury Secretary Bessent supports Federal Reserve Chairman Powell to complete his entire term.The rapid rise of long-term debt reflects the hot sentiment in the bond market. On December 10th, the transaction interest rate of the 10-year active bond "240011" further dropped to 1.84%, hitting a record low. By the close of the day, treasury bonds futures rose across the board, and the main contract of representative 10-year treasury bonds futures hit a record high. Experts said that the loose expectation of monetary policy and the strong demand for institutional allocation constitute an important supporting factor for the recent bond market to continue to go bullish. But at the same time, as bond prices rise and yields fall, market volatility may also rise. (CSI)CF40 Research: Three Channels to Expand Domestic Demand. An article published by Guan Wei of China Financial Forty Forum (CF40) pointed out that the expansion of total demand, whether it is to expand consumption or investment demand, should be implemented on credit growth. When credit goes up, residents, enterprises and governments have more money in their pockets, so do expenditures and incomes, as well as profits and investments. At present, there are three main ways to expand credit: first, fiscal policy is exerted and the government borrows money; Second, the monetary policy will exert its strength and reduce the policy interest rate; The third is to stabilize the real estate market, and there can be no further sharp decline. In terms of finance, maintain the intensity of fiscal expenditure in a broad sense, and moderately increase the fiscal deficit to 4% in 2025. In terms of monetary policy, we should take reducing the real interest rate as an important goal, continue to implement "strong interest rate reduction", and timely reduce the interest rate of structural monetary policy tools below the policy interest rate level. In terms of the property market, it will ease the current cash flow pressure faced by real estate enterprises and promote the real estate to stop falling and stabilize from both ends of supply and demand.


Argentina's MERVAL index closed down 1.34% to 2.199 million points.South Korean President Yin Xiyue prefers to be impeached rather than resigned. (Chosun Ilbo)The Deputy Prime Minister of Iraq spoke to the UN Special Envoy for Syria. The two sides stressed that the previous settlement mechanism should be maintained. On December 10, local time, the Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister of Iraq, Fuad Hussein, telephoned the UN Secretary-General's Special Envoy for Syria, Pei Kairu. The two sides reviewed the current developments in Syria and analyzed its scope of influence, and discussed the possible consequences if the international community failed to take concrete actions. The two sides stressed that consultations should continue and the United Nations should play an active role in supporting the Syrian people and stabilizing the situation in the region. The two sides also stressed that the previous mechanism for resolving the Syrian conflict should be maintained and the consensus between the region and Arab countries should be brought into play to reach a plan to end the humanitarian crisis in Syria. (CCTV)


Market information: US President Biden plans to formally prevent Nippon Steel (Nippon Steel) from acquiring American steel companies. US Steel (X) triggered an intraday fuse and fell 8.8% before trading was suspended.The EU plans to issue up to 90 billion euros of long-term bonds in the first half of 2025.Jin Guanping, Economic Daily: Implement more active and promising macro policies. The article points out that the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held a meeting on December 9 to analyze and study the economic work in 2025, and put forward "implement more active and promising macro policies" and "strengthen unconventional countercyclical adjustment" in view of the macro policy orientation next year, and clearly implement more active fiscal policies and moderately loose monetary policies. This important deployment has released a clear signal of strengthening macro-control and strong and steady growth. Implementing a "more active" fiscal policy means increasing fiscal countercyclical adjustment and improving the effectiveness of fiscal policy while maintaining policy stability and continuity. "Moderately loose" means that monetary policy will better reflect the supportive stance and orientation, maintain a reasonable and sufficient liquidity, and further reduce the comprehensive financing costs of enterprises and residents.

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